Border apprehensions jump 84 percent, 606,000 expected this year

January saw a surprising surge of 22,000 more apprehensions of illegal immigrants at southwest border crossings over January 2018, prompting a key predictor to suggest that border officers will make over 600,000 apprehensions this year.

The year-over-year increase was 84 percent, from 25,975 in January 2018 to 47,893 last January, according to U.S. Customs and Border Protection.

According to Princeton Policy Advisors, which studies immigration data and makes predictions on future potential border crossings, the surprise January surge showed that the so-called “Trump effect” of slowing attempted crossings evaporated.

What’s more, said Princeton’s Steven Kopits, the surge suggests that more illegal immigrants than expected could be heading to the border this year.

“The January numbers don’t yet warrant an upward revision in our forecast of 606,000 apprehensions in 2019. But we are on notice. Buckle your seat belts: 2019 could be a wild ride at the southwest border,” he said.

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